There is, of course, no such thing as a ”causal chain.” When you look to the antecedents of any event, you discover not only whole flocks of previous events, but entirely different orders of events. Just my typing the last word in this sentence is going to involve rafts of chemistry, physics, biology, psychology, sociology, institutions, politics, and heaven knows what else, and now I'm almost too tired to do it.
This is why a book like Scott Soames’s, which omits all orders but one--the argumentative philosophical order—is not a work of history. To capture wie es eigentlich gewesen with analytic philosophy in the Twentieth Century, Soames would have had to include discussion of political pressures on philosophers, personality disputes (à la Wittgenstein’s Poker), religion (a not-so-subterranean force in much analytical philosophy), accidents of language, and so forth. This doesn’t denigrate his achievement; it is a matter of seeing what sort of achievement it is. If I read my Aristotle correctly— Poetics 1451b—the proper name for what Soames has produced is “poetry.” It is like a Platonic dialogue in which the Forms themselves are doing the talking.
So the balkanization of philosophy, which is probably its dominant trait these days, cannot be given a linear explanation—it cannot be the product of a single causal chain (any more than anything else can). It cannot, therefore, result solely from the increase in size of the profession, as Rescher and Soames suggest. Indeed, the figures I adduced in my previous postings have suggested that the increase in size of the profession may not be nearly large enough to have played any significant role at all.
So what do you do, as an historian? You make as complete a list of possible causal factors as you can, and you try to weight them. What other things might we put on our list of causal factors in the balkanization of philosophy?
- Institutional pressures: employment in academia depends upon a dossier that can fit on a dean’s desk. It is largely, then, a matter of letters of recommendation from prominent figures in your field. The smaller your field, more likely it is that you know its prominent figures personally; the easier it is to get letters; and the more effective those letters are likely to be. Balkanization is found across academia because it is such a good survival strategy.
- Lack of good unifying ideas: mainstream American philosophy has suffered a number of blows since the early 70’s. Kripke, according to Soames, showed that the main philosophical problems turned, not on how language works, but on what reality is like. Rorty, according to me and others, showed that the dominant paradigm, being foundationalist, was little more than faith-based. Mainstream philosophy now appears to be caught between an old paradigm widely recognized as untenable, and a new paradigm that hasn't shown up. The better part of wisdom, perhaps, is for philosophers just to trickle quietly away into safely specialized backwaters
- Proliferation of Journals: More intriguing, however, may be this possibility: Consider the two areas in which there has been an undeniable explosion, in the number of grad students and the number of journals. It is clear that a 60% increase in the number of philosophical journals would certainly give the impression of an explosion in philosophy as such, certainly to someone who (like a good historian) is trying to keep up with what is published in journals.
And the explosion of journals is not unconnected with the explosion in grad students, because the real demand for journals comes not from readers, but from prospective contributors. Grad students need jobs; they therefore need to publish; and they have no time to write books. They, and their older siblings in the junior professoriat, are the real market for new journals.
It used to take money to start a journal, but online publication and other new technologies have obviated that. Now it takes primarily two things: a staff, basically a few philosophers who care enough about the prospective journal to devote some time and effort to it; and another group of philosophers, hopefully larger, to be your potential contributors. If those two problems can be solved, everything else—including library subscriptions—will follow.
It is easier for a group of like-minded friends to start a specialized journal than to get together the kind of more diverse group needed for a more general journal, and it is easier to ask your friends for articles than to try and get submissions from strangers. So journal publishing goes together with balkanization. Perhaps the proliferation of journals, resulting from the proliferation of grad students, is one factor producing the impression of growth and balkanization to which both Rescher and Soames appeal.
Journals encourage balkanization in another way. A book is out there for sale on the shelf of a bookstore. It shares that space with very different books; my book on Hegel will be a matter of inches away from Christopher Peacock’s A Study of Concepts. Michael Williams’ Unnatural Doubts may be right next to Marianne Williamson’s commentary on A Course in Miracles. Any of these books thus runs the risk of being picked up and thumbed over by someone profoundly unsympathetic to its subject matter and approach, let alone its theses.
Journal authors, however, have an added layer of protection from this. Someone who is into Peacock is not going to be looking into Hegel-Studien. A Heidegger scholar won’t bother with Mind. And so specialized journals disseminate their authors’ views primarily to the like-minded. Books do this too, of course—but not with the same comfort level.
One final thought. Let us assume that an average journal publishes 15 articles in a year. In 1994-5, according to what I posted previously, the 166 philosophy journals would thus have published 2490 articles. Since there were 11184 “philosophers” in that year, this works out to .23 articles per philosopher per year. Ten years later, 267 journals would have published a total of 4005 articles, written by 12703 “philosophers—“ .32 articles per philosopher per year. With half again as many articles coming out per philosopher, isn't some lowering of quality inevitable?